Portfolio Project
Empty-Package Shrink Dashboard
Excel Forecasting & BI
Context
Empty-package theft was rising fast. Recovered retail value was 5× higher in Q2 2023 than Q1 2021, and leaders needed one view of where it was happening.
Role
- Built the Excel dashboard workflow (cleanup, drill-downs, and reporting).
Approach
- Consolidated 5,900+ loss-prevention records (2021–2023).
- Cleaned the data and anonymized employee IDs, DPCI codes, dates, locations, and retail values.
- Built an interactive Excel dashboard with drill-downs by associate, department, and recovery location.
- Summarized the findings in a short report.
Impact
- Two recovery locations (anonymized) stood out as hotspots.
- Shrink doubled in under 12 months at one hotspot, with the second doubling in a single quarter.
- Three departments (anonymized) drove most recoveries; the top department jumped ~4× in two quarters.
- Three associates (anonymized) accounted for ~47% of recovered value.
Data Cleanup and Governance
I turned messy loss-prevention logs into a usable dashboard while keeping people and locations anonymous.
- Consolidated 5,900+ records (2021–2023) and standardized dates, locations, departments, and retail values.
- Anonymized employee and store identifiers so the write-up is shareable.
- Added quarter fields so trends are easy to track over time.
Dashboard and KPIs
- Built pivot-based drill-downs by associate, department, and recovery location.
- Tracked both retail value and item count to separate volume from severity.
- Added trend views to spot fast growth (doubling patterns), not just totals.
Key Findings
- Recovered retail value increased five-fold from Q1 2021 to Q2 2023.
- Two recovery locations were hotspots; one doubled in <12 months and another doubled in a single quarter.
- A small set of associates and departments drove a disproportionate share of recovered value (~47% from three associates).
What I'd Improve
- Normalize by store traffic or shipments to separate growth from volume changes.
- Add control charts or anomaly alerts to flag spikes automatically.
- Automate refresh via scheduled exports so the dashboard stays current.
Links
Notes
Employee and location identifiers are anonymized in the write-up.